Deep-level conflicts reveal that the chemical fiber industry has entered an important transition period

“The deep-seated contradictions and problems of China's chemical fiber industry are gradually emerging: serious shortage of raw materials, increased cost pressures, shortened industry operating cycles, diversified market competition, overall technical level still lags behind developed countries, and the industrial structure still cannot adapt to both domestic and international The need for an increasingly complex market, and most importantly, environmental pressures no longer support the sustainable and rapid development of China's chemical fiber industry.At present, China's chemical fiber industry is at a critical moment of development, or an important transition period, China's chemical fiber industry The growth model must achieve a fundamental transformation from quantity-based development to quality-efficiency-based development as soon as possible,” said Zheng Zhiyi, president of the China Chemical Fiber Industry Association, at the 14th China International Chemical Fiber Conference.
Industry technical progress is obvious
Zheng Zhiyi stated that the drive of localization projects, technological progress, and economic scale have enabled China's chemical fiber industry to make considerable progress and have absorbed the pressure of rising raw materials and costs caused by the sharp increase in oil prices. As of 2007, China's chemical fiber industry had a capacity of 25.72 million tons and output of 23.9 million tons. The “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” target was fulfilled in advance, and other symbolic indicators were also close to the 2010 target.
At the same time, the structure of chemical fiber products has been more optimized, especially with the development of society, which has produced a certain demand for high-tech fibers. New and special fibers have been developed and included in the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” development guidance of China Chemical Fibre Industry in the past two years. The process of industrialization and localization has been relatively smooth. At present, phased results have been achieved. After the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" period of large-scale localization of polyester engineering complete sets of equipment and supporting spinning and spinning equipment and project promotion and application, China's polyester filament production technology has reached the international advanced level.
Industrial competitiveness continues to increase
According to data provided by the Chemical Fiber Association, China’s chemical fiber exports reached 1.5428 million tons in 2007, an increase of 47.1% year-on-year, and the export value increased by 59.44%, an increase of 12.34 percentage points over the number. Among them, the export volume of polyester filament, polyester staple fiber, and viscose staple fiber was the top three, accounting for 40.5%, 27.07%, and 8.05% of the export volume, respectively. Zheng Zhiyi believes that it is worthwhile to note that the export volume of chemical fiber exceeded the import volume for the first time, and achieved a net export of 433,100 tons for the whole year. Excluding acrylic and nylon filaments, polyester filaments, polyester staple fibers, viscose filaments, viscose staple fibers, and spandex all achieved net exports.
At the same time, the improvement of industrial competitiveness is also reflected in the export of downstream products, and the added value of chemical fiber textiles has been significantly increased. In 2007, the total export volume of chemical fiber textiles was 3.796 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 10.2%; the export value reached 16.86 billion USD, an increase of 18.4%, and the increase in export value was 8.23 ​​percentage points higher than the increase.
Zheng Zhiyi said that at present, the industrial concentration of China's chemical fiber industry is continuously increasing, which reflects the characteristics of production capacity concentrated on large companies, regional markets, and private enterprises.
Energy-saving space is still big
Zheng Zhiyi stated that energy saving and consumption reduction are the necessary active behaviors for enterprises to improve their competitiveness. In the new era, raw materials and auxiliary materials consumption indicators for a considerable number of chemical fiber industries have entered the world's advanced ranks, and some have been close to theoretical values. Taking polyester filament as an example, since the beginning of the 21st century, the application of a large number of new technologies, new equipment, and new projects has greatly improved the production stability of the polyester filament industry, greatly shortened the inspection and repair period, and greatly reduced raw materials. Consumption.
After entering the 21st century, China's chemical fiber industry has experienced localization, large-scale, low-cost engineering and technological progress for the fastest 7 years. Zheng Zhiyi said that the chemical fiber industry's performance in energy conservation has been particularly prominent during the past seven years. In 2007, the total energy consumption of the industry was 13.95 million tons of standard coal, and the unit consumption fell from 992.5kg standard coal/ton in 2000 to 611.3kg standard coal/ton, down by 38.4%.
According to a bulletin on the state of energy use of 1,000 enterprises that has been tracked and monitored by the state, 14 large-scale enterprises that entered the statistical list of the chemical fiber industry have saved 200,000 tons of standard coal in the first half of 2007. According to the statistics of the National Bureau of Statistics, although the solid waste discharge from China's chemical fiber industry has increased year by year, it is much lower than the growth rate of production capacity, which is less than 10%. By 2010, the chemical fiber industry will increase the overall utilization of solid waste to 98%.
Zheng Zhiyi believes that “by 2010, the chemical fiber industry will have little problem in completing the national requirements, leaving room for it.”
According to the statistics of the country's one thousand energy companies, the energy consumption of chemical fiber units (kg/standard coal/ton product) is ranked first and second in the viscose filament yarn and vinylon industry, which is 2~3 times higher than electrolytic aluminum, copper processing and caustic soda industry; Staple fibres ranked 8th, which was about 10% higher than that of ethylene and refined zinc; Acrylic ranked 12th, 20% higher than alumina and steelmaking industry; Polyester staple fiber ranked 26th to 27th, higher than crude oil The processing and raw coal comprehensive industry is 30% to 3 times. Although the energy-saving situation is still severe, the data shows that the chemical fiber industry is still very space-saving.
Energy Saving and Emission Reduction Will Drive Industry Development
In order to do a good job in the energy conservation and emission reduction of the chemical fiber industry, Zheng Zhiyi stated that the China Chemical Fiber Industry Association will seize the key points, break through the difficulties, and drive the entire industry to save energy and reduce emissions. Now that the "Five One" project has been established, it will seize an industry. Taking the energy saving and emission reduction of the viscose industry as the focus and pilot; seize a product, take the recycling and comprehensive utilization of polyester fabric clothes as a breakthrough for the circular economy; seize a technology, use the polyester environmental protection catalyst as a pilot to promote cleaner production; Grasping a treatment, focusing on the treatment of exhaust emissions from viscose fiber production, reversed the passive situation of controlling the total amount of major pollutant emissions; to seize one area, in 2007, Zhejiang Xiaoshan's chemical fiber capacity accounted for 12.9% of the national chemical fiber capacity. Xiaoshan's speed and quality of energy-saving and emission reduction work are of utmost importance.
At the same time, China Chemical Fiber Industry Association will use economic measures to promote energy saving and environmental protection, and improve the environmental protection bottom line through standards, laws, regulations, regulations, etc., accelerate the elimination of outdated processes and equipment, encourage the development of environmental protection, cleanliness, and new Technology, new equipment.
Zheng Zhiyi stated that in 2007 China's chemical fiber industry actually had a total fixed investment of 20.3 billion yuan, but 68% concentrated on capacity growth, and energy-saving emission reduction and technological transformation accounted for only 15%. If this ratio is raised to more than 40%, in particular investment in energy conservation and emission reduction can be increased by more than 20%, which will play a huge role in industrial operations, technological progress, and industrial upgrading.
Xu Kunyuan, vice president of the China Textile Industry Association, said that energy saving and emission reduction is an opportunity for chemical fiber textile companies to improve product quality and enrich product varieties. However, there are still some companies that are erroneously equating environmental protection with cost. According to related research, many energy-saving emission reduction technologies and projects will be able to recover all of the investment after 1 to 3 years. In particular, a number of technologies and projects for coal saving, energy saving, fuel saving, and water saving have greatly promoted the development of chemical fiber textile enterprises.
Related Reports: Overcapacity Excessive Profit Decreases Economic Cycle of Chemical Fiber Industry
After experiencing rapid growth last year, this year's chemical fiber industry suffered a sharp decline in profits due to factors such as rising oil prices and overcapacity.
According to the national-statistical statistics released by the National Bureau of Statistics on the profits of industrial enterprises above the designated size for the period from January to May, under the premise of an overall increase of 20.9%, the profits of the chemical fiber industry decreased by 26.8% year-on-year, and the growth rate dropped sharply by 246.8%. Industry insiders expect that this situation will be difficult to improve in the short term.
Industry insiders pointed out that the turning point of profit growth for chemical fiber companies has already appeared in 2007. In the midst of market, price, and cost clashes, most corporate profits continued to deteriorate this year. Some small and medium-sized enterprises even shut themselves out of business.
In fact, due to factors such as viscose fiber prices, sales volume, and continued increase in gross profit, last year, the chemical fiber industry once presented a thriving scene. Previously, relevant experts at the China Textile Technology and Economic Development High-level Forum had stated that in 2007, the total profit of the chemical fiber industry could reach 14.5 billion yuan, an increase of over 100%.
However, unfortunately, along with the heightened prosperity of an industry, it is often the extreme expansion of investment and expansion speed, and the cycle of the industry's economy is getting shorter and shorter. This has also become a difficult cycle for the chemical fiber industry in recent years.
Industry sources stated that since the beginning of this year, due to the accelerated expansion of production capacity and the slow start of downstream demand, the viscose and spandex industry prices that had a profit growth of 97.46% and 90.91% last year have begun to fall, and the inventory of products has risen sharply and the company’s earnings have increased. The level dropped sharply. Among them, the price of spandex 40D has fallen from the price of 70,000 yuan per ton in the beginning of the year to the current 47,000 yuan per ton, a drop of more than 30%.
According to relevant statistics, the profit margin of the chemical fiber industry in the first five months of this year was only around 1.50%, far lower than the average level of 5.93% of industrial enterprises in the same period of the same period, and it was at the lowest level in nearly a year and a half. The production of polyester fiber accounts for about 79% of the entire chemical fiber industry. Gross profit for the period from January to April this year has dropped from 5.76% last year to 4.56%.
Experts said that more than 90% of chemical fiber products are petroleum derivatives, and their raw material costs account for more than 80% of production costs. This year, the international oil price soared from the beginning of the 90 US dollars / barrel up to more than 140 US dollars / barrel, an increase of nearly 50%, but the price of chemical fiber products such as polyester filament, polyester staple fiber rose by only about 5% year on year. Some chemical fiber companies have doubled their production capacity, but their gross profit was only half of the same period of last year.
In fact, the phenomenon of general decline in profits has been reflected in the first quarter financial reports released by major chemical fiber listed companies. From the financial statements of four listed companies including Dandong Chemical Fiber, Jilin Chemical Fiber, Xinxiang Chemical Fiber, and Nanjing Chemical Fiber, net profit decreased year-on-year. Among them, Jilin Chemical Fiber's net profit decreased by 207.12% year-on-year, and Xinxiang Chemical Fiber's net profit fell by 89.38%.
On June 20 this year, the National Development and Reform Commission raised the refined oil price by 1,000 yuan per ton, and increased the national electricity price by an average of 0.025 yuan per kilowatt-hour on July 1. According to calculations, after the increase in electricity prices, the one-year increase in the power consumption of the chemical fiber industry will reach 555 million yuan, which will undoubtedly make the already fierce chemical fiber industry even worse.